Transport for NSW provides projections of employment at the small area (Travel Zone or TZ) level for NSW. The latest version is Travel Zone Projections 2022 (TZP22), released November 2022.
This new version TZP22 is an update on the previously published TZP19 and aligns with the NSW Government Common Planning Assumptions.
TZP22 Employment Projections are for employed persons by place of work. They are provided by Industry using two breakdowns:
- 33 industry categories (equivalent to the ABS 1-digit Australia and New Zealand Standard Industrial Classification (ANZSIC) codes with the exception of Manufacturing which is at 2-digit level).
- 4 Broad Industry Categories (groupings of the above)
The projections in this release, TZP22 are presented annually 2016 to 2026 and five-yearly from 2026 to 2066 and are in TZ16 geography.
Please note, TZP22 is based on best available data as at early to mid 2022. It includes the impacts from the Covid-19 pandemic and does not include results from the ABS 2021 Census as the relevant data had not been released at the time of TZP22 production.
Key Data Inputs used:
- TZP22 Workforce Projections
- Census Journey to Work 2016 dataset by Destination Zone - ABS
- State-level Employment projections – NSW Treasury
- Employment by industry projections - Victoria University
- Future Employment Development Database (FEDD) - a custom dataset compiled by TfNSW in late 2019 and updated in mid-2022, that presents the number of jobs expected from major projects based on publicly available documents.
For a summary of the TZP22 Projections method please refer to the TZP22 Factsheet
For more detail on the projection process please refer to the TZP22 Technical Guide
Additional land use information for population and workforce as well as Travel Zone boundaries for NSW are also available for download on the Open Data Hub.
A visualisation of the employment projections is available on the Transport for NSW Website under Reference Information.
Cautions
The TZP22 dataset represents one view of the future aligned with the NSW Government Common Planning Assumptions and population and economic projections.
The projections are not based on specific assumptions about future new transport infrastructure, but do take into account known land-use developments underway or planned, and strategic plans.
- TZP22 is a strategic state-wide dataset and caution should be exercised when considering results at detailed breakdowns.
- The TZP22 outputs represent a point in time set of projections (as at early to mid 2022).
- The projections are not government targets.
- Travel Zone (TZ) level outputs are projections only and should be used as a guide. As with all small area data, aggregating of travel zone projections to higher geographies leads to more robust results.
- As a general rule, TZ-level projections are illustrative of a possible future only.
- More specific advice about data reliability for the specific variables projected is provided in the “Read Me” page of the Excel format summary spreadsheets on the TfNSW Open Data Hub.
- Caution is advised when comparing TZP22 with the previous set of projections (TZP19) due to addition of new data sources for the most recent years, and adjustments to methodology.
Further cautions and notes can be found in the TZP22 Technical Guide.